Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 7.915974 8.733110 9.622527 10.666611 11.863881 13.200049 14.812624
2026-01-18 6.914889 8.016259 9.296688 10.910112 12.910016 15.335887 18.545190
2026-01-25 6.121922 7.327987 8.791971 10.726835 13.258206 16.517562 21.134096
2026-02-01 5.558722 6.822814 8.410500 10.591186 13.573993 17.613175 23.684133
2026-02-08 5.099072 6.388550 8.054412 10.417593 13.775333 18.526709 26.057856
2026-02-15 4.704596 5.997128 7.707292 10.201597 13.865237 19.256137 28.223915
2026-02-22 4.423677 5.730276 7.498042 10.144915 14.158368 20.293472 31.002628
2026-03-01 4.089477 5.363864 7.118358 9.800367 13.971909 20.549056 32.496616
2026-03-08 3.752148 4.970485 6.671320 9.315064 13.513100 20.302837 33.054967
2026-03-15 3.541265 4.742692 6.445940 9.143170 13.527120 20.826344 35.075023
2026-03-22 3.605291 4.911972 6.809976 9.906168 15.131679 24.256943 43.264503
2026-03-29 3.523718 4.860731 6.837387 10.133055 15.853684 26.211964 48.906845
2026-04-05 3.328794 4.634682 6.591131 9.907581 15.789611 26.744220 51.727618
2026-04-12 3.252623 4.584386 6.614975 10.134056 16.559545 28.996450 58.995945
2026-04-19 3.097518 4.403296 6.418990 9.967389 16.582626 29.750127 62.860553
2026-04-26 2.964148 4.248863 6.256038 9.844142 16.672592 30.650844 67.323322
2026-05-03 2.834197 4.093155 6.081609 9.686343 16.677454 31.366321 71.481510
2026-05-10 2.706308 3.934627 5.893630 9.489892 16.585027 31.851888 75.132034
2026-05-17 2.614454 3.829731 5.789306 9.438320 16.779967 33.018693 81.123333
2026-05-24 2.481256 3.651921 5.552730 9.124651 16.402116 32.788914 82.757836
2026-05-31 2.333189 3.444413 5.256741 8.682308 15.718319 31.745808 81.554088
2026-06-07 2.243311 3.329554 5.115166 8.525477 15.632407 32.162628 85.339515
2026-06-14 2.300513 3.460725 5.406170 9.221003 17.472147 37.736207 109.250285